正題名/作者 : Fragile futures :/ Vito Tanzi.
其他題名 : the uncertain economics of disasters, pandemics, and climate change /
作者 : Tanzi, Vito.
出版者 : Cambridge :Cambridge University Press,c2022.
面頁冊數 : vi, 239 p. ;24 cm.
標題 : Economic history - Forecasting. - 21st century -
ISBN : 9781009100120 (hbk.)
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100 1 $aTanzi, Vito.$3160134
245 10$aFragile futures :$bthe uncertain economics of disasters, pandemics, and climate change /$cVito Tanzi.
260 $aCambridge :$bCambridge University Press,$cc2022.
300 $avi, 239 p. ;$c24 cm.
504 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. [220]-227) and index.
520 $aThis book revisits a distinction introduced in 1921 by economists Frank Knight and John Maynard Keynes: that between statistically predictable future events ('risks') and statistically unpredictable, uncertain events ('uncertainties'). Governments have generally ignored the latter, perceiving phenomena such as pandemics, natural disasters and climate change as uncontrollable Acts of God. As a result, there has been little if any preparation for future catastrophes. Our modern society is more interconnected and more globalized than ever. Dealing with uncertain future events requires a stronger and more globally coordinated government response. This book suggests a larger, more global government role in dealing with these disasters and keeping economic inequalities low. Major institutional changes, such as regulating the private sector for the common good and dealing with special harms, risks and crises, especially those concerning climate change and pandemics, are necessary in order to achieve any semblance of future progress for humankind.
650 0$aEconomic history$y21st century$xForecasting.$3428887
650 0$aEconomic development$xForecasting.$3497712
650 0$aPublic administration.$3141502
650 0$aNatural disasters$xForecasting.$3421657
650 0$aInternational organization.$3140544
650 0$aOrganizational change.$3139624